Serie A · 2026

Palmeiras vs Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.621.27
Expected goals
1.111.38
Shots
14.715.9
Possession
51.7%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: palmeiras's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras26 matchesRed Bull Bragantino26 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.27 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.19 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.38 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 15.9 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.12 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession26/2649.2%
6.08 corners/match ●Corners26/265.58 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/54.8 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Palmeiras
1Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1
Palmeiras — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A5–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Palmeiras · Serie A1–2
Red Bull Bragantino — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0
Palmeiras — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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