São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

São Paulo

DLWWL

vsPre-match analysis

Vasco da Gama

LLWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.21.12
Expected goals: 1.241.37
Shots: 13.617.2
Possession: 54.3%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: são Paulo's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.6 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo25 matchesVasco da Gama25 matches

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.12 goals/match

1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.37 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 17.2 shots/match

4.28 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.2 shots/match

54.3% ●Possession25/2553.2%

6.92 corners/match ●Corners25/255.32 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/41.75 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2São Paulo

0Draws

3Vasco da Gama

19 Apr 2026Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A2–1

2 Nov 2025Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A0–2

13 Jun 2025São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–3

17 Oct 2024São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A3–0

23 Jun 2024Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4