Grêmio vs Cruzeiro — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

Grêmio

LWLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Cruzeiro

WWLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.121.52
Expected goals: 0.781.42
Shots: 11.414.2
Possession: 50.3%54.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: grêmio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Grêmio have a visible home split

moderate

Grêmio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.52 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio26 matchesCruzeiro25 matches

1.12 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.52 goals/match

1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.52 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.42 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots26/25▲ 14.2 shots/match

3.54 shots/matchShots on target26/25▲ 4.88 shots/match

50.3%Possession26/25● 54.9%

4 corners/matchCorners26/25● 5.24 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

13.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2514 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Grêmio

1Draws

4Cruzeiro

19 Apr 2026Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A2–0

5 Nov 2025Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–1

13 Jul 2025Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A4–1

28 Nov 2024Cruzeiro — Grêmio · Serie A1–1

10 Jul 2024Grêmio — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples26 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season