PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cruzeiro vs Remo · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Remo

LLLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.581.12
Expected goals
1.40.92
Shots
14.212.3
Possession
55%43.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

55% ●PossessionCruzeiro · remo43.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroremoBaseline
Possession55%43.1%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro26 matchesRemo26 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.73 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/220.92 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.3 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.62 shots/match
55% ●Possession26/2643.1%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners26/264.73 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/63.33 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
0Draws
0Remo
Remo — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroRemo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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