PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Red Bull Bragantino vs Cruzeiro · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.211.59
Expected goals
1.421.46
Shots
16.814.5
Possession
50.3%54.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: RB Bragantino's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RB Bragantino, Cruzeiro. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

RB Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Bragantino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RB Bragantino, Cruzeiro.

3.9 days ▲Rest daysRB Bragantino · Cruzeiro3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRB BragantinoCruzeiroBaseline
Rest days3.9 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino28 matchesCruzeiro27 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored28/27▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/271.44 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals24/231.46 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots28/2714.5 shots/match
5.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/275.04 shots/match
50.3%Possession28/27● 54.9%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners28/275.22 corners/match
4.8 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2714.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Red Bull Bragantino
1Draws
3Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Cruzeiro — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1
Cruzeiro — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness4 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headRed Bull Bragantino — Cruzeiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required