PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Internacional 2–1 Corinthians · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 2–1.

Shots
1722
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.762.42
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Corinthians 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Corinthians): shots 17–22, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.76–2.42, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots22 shotsInternacional 17 shots, Corinthians 22 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsInternacional 7 shots, Corinthians 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG2.42 xGInternacional 1.76 xG, Corinthians 2.42 xG
  • Possession28%72%Internacional 28%, Corinthians 72%
  • Corners3 corners12 cornersInternacional 3 corners, Corinthians 12 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls12 foulsInternacional 20 fouls, Corinthians 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsInternacional 4 cards, Corinthians 4 cards
  • Passes239 passes593 passesInternacional 239 passes, Corinthians 593 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.6%89.7%Internacional 73.6%, Corinthians 89.7%
  • Shots inside box12 shots15 shotsInternacional 12 shots, Corinthians 15 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks7 blocksInternacional 2 blocks, Corinthians 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesInternacional 6 saves, Corinthians 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesInternacional 3 offsides, Corinthians 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Internacional
2Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A0–1
Internacional — Corinthians · Serie A1–1
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A4–2
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A2–2
Internacional — Corinthians · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Corinthians in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional27 matchesCorinthians27 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.07 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.22 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.06 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2713 shots/match
4.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.85 shots/match
48%Possession27/27● 55.4%
6.07 corners/match ●Corners27/275.3 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/43.5 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalCorinthians
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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