Serie A · 2026

Internacional vs Corinthians · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.161.08
Expected goals
1.420.93
Shots
14.712.4
Possession
48.5%54.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional · Corinthians12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalCorinthiansBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match12 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Corinthians in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional25 matchesCorinthians25 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.08 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.93 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.6 shots/match
48.5%Possession25/25● 54.6%
6.32 corners/match ●Corners25/254.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/43.5 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Internacional
2Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A0–1
Internacional — Corinthians · Serie A1–1
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A4–2
Corinthians — Internacional · Serie A2–2
Internacional — Corinthians · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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