PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Remo 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

Remo

LLLLL
1–1Full-time analysis

Grêmio

WLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Remo and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
2317
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.322.6
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Remo and Grêmio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Remo – Grêmio): shots 23–17, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.32–2.6, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Remo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Remo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots17 shotsRemo 23 shots, Grêmio 17 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsRemo 9 shots, Grêmio 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG2.6 xGRemo 1.32 xG, Grêmio 2.6 xG
  • Possession62%38%Remo 62%, Grêmio 38%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersRemo 10 corners, Grêmio 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsRemo 11 fouls, Grêmio 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsRemo 3 cards, Grêmio 4 cards
  • Passes579 passes360 passesRemo 579 passes, Grêmio 360 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.6%81.9%Remo 87.6%, Grêmio 81.9%
  • Shots inside box16 shots14 shotsRemo 16 shots, Grêmio 14 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksRemo 6 blocks, Grêmio 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves8 savesRemo 3 saves, Grêmio 8 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideRemo 0 offsides, Grêmio 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Remo
1Draws
0Grêmio
Grêmio — Remo · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Grêmio in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo27 matchesGrêmio28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored27/281.07 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed27/28▲ 1.36 goals/match
0.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/240.87 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2811.4 shots/match
3.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/283.61 shots/match
43.8%Possession27/28● 49.1%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners27/283.93 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards6/42.5 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2813.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRemoGrêmio
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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