PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Santos 2–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

Santos

LWDWW
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–1.

Shots
319
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
1.981.7
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Cruzeiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Cruzeiro): shots 31–9, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 1.98–1.7, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots9 shotsSantos 31 shots, Cruzeiro 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsSantos 9 shots, Cruzeiro 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG1.7 xGSantos 1.98 xG, Cruzeiro 1.7 xG
  • Possession52%48%Santos 52%, Cruzeiro 48%
  • Corners13 corners3 cornersSantos 13 corners, Cruzeiro 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsSantos 19 fouls, Cruzeiro 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSantos 2 cards, Cruzeiro 3 cards
  • Passes508 passes461 passesSantos 508 passes, Cruzeiro 461 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.8%85.5%Santos 86.8%, Cruzeiro 85.5%
  • Shots inside box14 shots8 shotsSantos 14 shots, Cruzeiro 8 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks0 blocksSantos 8 blocks, Cruzeiro 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves8 savesSantos 2 saves, Cruzeiro 8 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSantos 2 offsides, Cruzeiro 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santos
1Draws
2Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Santos · Serie A0–0
Santos — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–0
Cruzeiro — Santos · Serie A1–2
Santos — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–3
Cruzeiro — Santos · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 4 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos25 matchesCruzeiro25 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.52 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.52 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.42 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.88 shots/match
49.6%Possession25/25● 54.9%
5.32 corners/match ●Corners25/255.24 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/42.75 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls25/2514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSantos — Cruzeiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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