PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Coritiba 3–3 Athletico · Serie A

3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Coritiba and Athletico drew 3–3.

Shots
2215
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.661.9
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba and Athletico drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Athletico): shots 22–15, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.66–1.9, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots15 shotsCoritiba 22 shots, Athletico 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsCoritiba 7 shots, Athletico 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG1.9 xGCoritiba 1.66 xG, Athletico 1.9 xG
  • Possession61%39%Coritiba 61%, Athletico 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersCoritiba 8 corners, Athletico 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls23 foulsCoritiba 15 fouls, Athletico 23 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsCoritiba 4 cards, Athletico 4 cards
  • Passes252 passes161 passesCoritiba 252 passes, Athletico 161 passes
  • Pass accuracy48%43.5%Coritiba 48%, Athletico 43.5%
  • Shots inside box14 shots9 shotsCoritiba 14 shots, Athletico 9 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks5 blocksCoritiba 8 blocks, Athletico 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesCoritiba 1 save, Athletico 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesCoritiba 1 offside, Athletico 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Coritiba
1Draws
2Athletico
Athletico — Coritiba · Serie A2–0
Coritiba — Athletico · Serie B0–0
Athletico — Coritiba · Serie B0–1
Coritiba — Athletico · Serie A2–0
Athletico — Coritiba · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Athletico in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba25 matchesAthletico25 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.36 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.08 shots/match
40%Possession25/25● 46.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.84 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaAthletico
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCoritiba — Athletico
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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