PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Neo Quimica Arena

Corinthians 1–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.651.85
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Atletico-MG 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Atletico-MG): shots 10–11, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.65–1.85, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsCorinthians 10 shots, Atlético Mineiro 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotCorinthians 4 shots, Atlético Mineiro 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.85 xGCorinthians 0.65 xG, Atlético Mineiro 1.85 xG
  • Possession58%42%Corinthians 58%, Atlético Mineiro 42%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersCorinthians 3 corners, Atlético Mineiro 0 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsCorinthians 15 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Corinthians
3Draws
1Atlético Mineiro
Corinthians — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Corinthians · Serie A0–0
Atlético Mineiro — Corinthians · Serie A2–1
Corinthians — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–0
Corinthians — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians17 matchesAtlético Mineiro17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.35 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.33 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.47 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession17/1748.7%
4.53 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.94 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCorinthians — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required