PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Evandro Almeida

Remo 1–1 Palmeiras · Serie A

Remo

DDLLW
1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Remo and Palmeiras drew 1–1.

Shots
1518
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.951.32
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

remo and Palmeiras drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (remo – Palmeiras): shots 15–18, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.95–1.32, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras have a visible away split

moderate

Palmeiras's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots18 shotsRemo 15 shots, Palmeiras 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRemo 4 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.32 xGRemo 0.95 xG, Palmeiras 1.32 xG
  • Possession34%66%Remo 34%, Palmeiras 66%
  • Corners5 corners17 cornersRemo 5 corners, Palmeiras 17 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls6 foulsRemo 6 fouls, Palmeiras 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo15 matchesPalmeiras15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.8 goals/match
0.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.84 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots15/1513 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.6 shots/match
42.3%Possession15/15● 49.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.33 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRemoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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