PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Flamengo 2–0 Bahia · Serie A

2–0Full-time analysis

Bahia

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–0.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.910.56
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Bahia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Bahia): shots 20–13, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.91–0.56, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo have a visible home split

moderate

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Flamengo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Flamengo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Bahia12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoBahiaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsFlamengo 20 shots, Bahia 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsFlamengo 8 shots, Bahia 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.56 xGFlamengo 1.91 xG, Bahia 0.56 xG
  • Possession52%48%Flamengo 52%, Bahia 48%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerFlamengo 6 corners, Bahia 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsFlamengo 12 fouls, Bahia 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Flamengo
0Draws
1Bahia
Bahia — Flamengo · Serie A1–0
Flamengo — Bahia · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Flamengo · Serie A0–2
Flamengo — Bahia · Serie A2–1
Flamengo — Bahia · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Bahia in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo11 matchesBahia11 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.09 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.4 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.5 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.36 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession11/1151.5%
4 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/34 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoBahia
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFlamengo — Bahia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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