Serie A · 2026

Red Bull Bragantino 4–2 Remo · Serie A

4–2Full-time analysis

Remo

LWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 4–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.560.5
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Bragantino beat remo 4–2. Recorded in this match (RB Bragantino – remo): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.56–0.5, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Bragantino · remo12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB BragantinoremoBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Bragantino have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3% ●PossessionRB Bragantino · remo42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB BragantinoremoBaseline
Possession51.3%42.7%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 16 shots, Remo 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 7 shots, Remo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG0.5 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.56 xG, Remo 0.5 xG
  • Possession51%49%Red Bull Bragantino 51%, Remo 49%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerRed Bull Bragantino 1 corner, Remo 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 11 fouls, Remo 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Remo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino12 matchesRemo12 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.83 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.86 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots12/1212.4 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession12/1242.7%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners12/124 corners/match
5.25 cards/matchCards4/43.25 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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