PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo · Serie A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 1–2.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
1.142.3
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Fluminense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Flamengo): shots 19–17, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 1.14–2.3, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsFluminense 19 shots, Flamengo 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsFluminense 6 shots, Flamengo 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG2.3 xGFluminense 1.14 xG, Flamengo 2.3 xG
  • Possession61%39%Fluminense 61%, Flamengo 39%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersFluminense 8 corners, Flamengo 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsFluminense 14 fouls, Flamengo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fluminense
1Draws
2Flamengo
Fluminense — Flamengo · Serie A2–1
Flamengo — Fluminense · Serie A1–0
Flamengo — Fluminense · Serie A0–2
Fluminense — Flamengo · Serie A0–1
Flamengo — Fluminense · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Flamengo in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense11 matchesFlamengo10 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.15 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1013.7 shots/match
6.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/104.4 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession11/1053.8%
6.09 corners/match ●Corners11/103.8 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/32.67 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseFlamengo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFluminense — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required