Saudi Pro League · 2025Al Taawon Arena

Al-Taawoun 1–2 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

1–2Historical match

Al-Ahli

WDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 1–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
10.97
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Taawon 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al Taawon – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 15–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1–0.97, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Taawon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Taawon's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Ahli Jeddah.

8.08 days ▲Rest daysAl Taawon · Al-Ahli Jeddah5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl TaawonAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Rest days8.08 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al Taawon show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Taawon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Taawon · Al-Ahli Jeddah12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl TaawonAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match8.75 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsAl-Taawoun 15 shots, Al-Ahli 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAl-Taawoun 4 shots, Al-Ahli 4 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG0.97 xGAl-Taawoun 1 xG, Al-Ahli 0.97 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Taawoun 56%, Al-Ahli 44%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerAl-Taawoun 7 corners, Al-Ahli 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls19 foulsAl-Taawoun 13 fouls, Al-Ahli 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsAl-Taawoun 2 cards, Al-Ahli 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marin Petkov · Al Taawon · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMohammed Mahzari · Al Taawon · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohammed Al-Kuwaykibi · Al Taawon · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAshraf El Mahdioui · Al Taawon · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAshraf El Mahdioui · Al Taawon · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarin Petkov · Al Taawon · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Mahzari · Al Taawon · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al-Kuwaykibi · Al Taawon · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 2′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAshraf El Mahdioui · Al Taawon · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 17′ · 0.11 xG · goalAngelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 55′ · 0.12 xG · goalMohammed Al Dossari · Al Taawon · 65′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRoger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 79′ · 0.12 xG · goalRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 15′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSaleh Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 13′ · 0.45 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Taawon: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Angelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 55′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 17′Roger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Taawon 0.91 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Taawoun
0Draws
5Al-Ahli
Al-Ahli — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Taawoun — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League2–4
Al-Taawoun — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Taawoun favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Taawoun32 matchesAl-Ahli32 matches
1.81 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals31/32▲ 1.92 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.25 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession32/3249.8%
3.94 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.69 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCards25/252.68 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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