Saudi Pro League · 2025King Khalid Sports City

Neom SC 2–1 Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

Neom SC

WWLDD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Neom SC won 2–1.

Shots
913
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.181.26
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEOM beat Al Shabab 2–1. Recorded in this match (NEOM – Al Shabab): shots 9–13, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.18–1.26, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEOM's recent record differs from the season

moderate

NEOM's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Shabab.

9.04 days ▲Rest daysNEOM · Al Shabab3.95 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNEOMAl ShababBaseline
Rest days9.04 days3.95 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsNeom SC 9 shots, Al-Shabab 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsNeom SC 5 shots, Al-Shabab 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG1.26 xGNeom SC 2.18 xG, Al-Shabab 1.26 xG
  • Possession42%58%Neom SC 42%, Al-Shabab 58%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersNeom SC 2 corners, Al-Shabab 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsNeom SC 12 fouls, Al-Shabab 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsNeom SC 1 card, Al-Shabab 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ali Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNathan Zeze · NEOM · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 78′ · 0.02 xG · goalAmadou Koné · NEOM · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Al Asmari · Al Shabab · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWesley Hoedt · Al Shabab · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · NEOM · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al-Thani · Al Shabab · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 72′ · 0.11 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 49′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 81′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMuhannad Al Saad · NEOM · 82′ · 0.40 xG · on targetHammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 58′ · 0.44 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 19′ · 0.82 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEOM: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.28 xG. Al Shabab: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 19′Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 45′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEOM 2.28 xG · Al Shabab 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Neom SC
0Draws
1Al-Shabab
Al-Shabab — Neom SC · Saudi Pro League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Neom SC favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Neom SC32 matchesAl-Shabab32 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.28 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.69 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.58 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots32/3213 shots/match
4.84 shots/matchShots on target32/324.72 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession32/3248.4%
4.88 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.31 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards25/262.31 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 20:50 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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