Al-Qadsiah 3–2 Al-Ahli — Saudi Pro League 2025/26 Match Stats

Saudi Pro League · 2025Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTCPrince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadsiah

WWWDW

3–2Historical match

Al-Ahli

WWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 3–2.

Shots: 1012
Shots on target: 35
Expected goals: 0.591.8
Possession: 64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.59–1.8, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.2 goals/match	2.38 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.12 corners/match ●CornersAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Ahli Jeddah6.15 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Al-Qadisiyah FC	Al-Ahli Jeddah	Baseline
Corners	7.12 corners/match	6.15 corners/match	4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Ahli Jeddah48.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Al-Qadisiyah FC	Al-Ahli Jeddah	Baseline
Possession	59.8%	48.9%	48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots10 shots12 shotsAl-Qadsiah 10 shots, Al-Ahli 12 shots
Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAl-Qadsiah 3 shots, Al-Ahli 5 shots
Expected goals0.59 xG1.8 xGAl-Qadsiah 0.59 xG, Al-Ahli 1.8 xG
Possession64%36%Al-Qadsiah 64%, Al-Ahli 36%
Corners5 corners4 cornersAl-Qadsiah 5 corners, Al-Ahli 4 corners
Fouls17 fouls20 foulsAl-Qadsiah 17 fouls, Al-Ahli 20 fouls
Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsAl-Qadsiah 4 cards, Al-Ahli 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Al-Qadisiyah FC: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Qadisiyah FC 0.59 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Qadsiah

1Draws

2Al-Ahli

28 Nov 2025Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · King's Cup3–3

21 Nov 2025Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–1

25 Feb 2025Al-Ahli — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League4–1

27 Sept 2024Al-Qadsiah — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah26 matchesAl-Ahli26 matches

2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.96 goals/match

0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.73 goals/match

1.97 xG/matchExpected goals25/261.93 xG/match

13.9 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613.1 shots/match

4.85 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.38 shots/match

59.8% ●Possession26/2648.9%

7.12 corners/match ●Corners26/266.15 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards25/242.79 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded