Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Riyadh 3–1 Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Riyadh won 3–1.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
3.831.62
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Riyadh beat Al-Ittihad FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al Riyadh – Al-Ittihad FC): shots 12–14, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 3.83–1.62, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Ittihad FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Ittihad FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.58 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Al-Ittihad FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%PossessionAl Riyadh · Al-Ittihad FC● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl RiyadhAl-Ittihad FCBaseline
Possession41.7%60.3%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsAl-Riyadh 12 shots, Al-Ittihad 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsAl-Riyadh 8 shots, Al-Ittihad 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.83 xG1.62 xGAl-Riyadh 3.83 xG, Al-Ittihad 1.62 xG
  • Possession29%71%Al-Riyadh 29%, Al-Ittihad 71%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersAl-Riyadh 4 corners, Al-Ittihad 10 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls6 foulsAl-Riyadh 3 fouls, Al-Ittihad 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsAl-Riyadh 1 card, Al-Ittihad 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ahmed Al Siyahi · Al Riyadh · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTozé · Al Riyadh · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoger Fernandes · Al-Ittihad FC · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHoussem Aouar · Al-Ittihad FC · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaleh Al-Shehri · Al-Ittihad FC · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdulrahman Alobud · Al-Ittihad FC · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteven Bergwijn · Al-Ittihad FC · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteven Bergwijn · Al-Ittihad FC · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antunes · Al Riyadh · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEnes Sali · Al Riyadh · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteven Bergwijn · Al-Ittihad FC · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMuhannad Shanqeeti · Al-Ittihad FC · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteven Bergwijn · Al-Ittihad FC · 29′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTozé · Al Riyadh · 48′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSaleh Al-Shehri · Al-Ittihad FC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Al-Julaydan · Al-Ittihad FC · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Al Riyadh · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMario Mitaj · Al-Ittihad FC · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEnes Sali · Al Riyadh · 80′ · 0.15 xG · on targetYoussef En-Nesyri · Al-Ittihad FC · 4′ · 0.27 xG · goalSaleh Al-Shehri · Al-Ittihad FC · 87′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.66 xG · goalYoann Barbet · Al Riyadh · 45′ · 0.74 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on targetTozé · Al Riyadh · 80′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Riyadh: 11 shots, 7 on target, 3.55 xG. Al-Ittihad FC: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Tozé · Al Riyadh · 80′Mamadou Sylla · Al Riyadh · 90′Youssef En-Nesyri · Al-Ittihad FC · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Riyadh 3.55 xG · Al-Ittihad FC 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Riyadh
0Draws
5Al-Ittihad
Al-Ittihad — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ittihad — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ittihad — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Riyadh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Riyadh26 matchesAl-Ittihad26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals24/26▲ 1.59 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5 shots/match
41.7%Possession26/26● 60.3%
5.19 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.81 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards25/252.08 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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