Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al-Fayha 1–3 Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 1–3.

Shots
419
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.093.32
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Al-Fayha 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Fayha – Al-Nassr): shots 4–19, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.09–3.32, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Fayha's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fayha's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Fayha show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Al-Fayha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Fayha · Al-Nassr18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FayhaAl-NassrBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match18.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match6.75 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Fayha, Al-Nassr.

3 days ▲Rest daysAl-Fayha · Al-Nassr3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-FayhaAl-NassrBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots19 shotsAl-Fayha 4 shots, Al-Nassr 19 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsAl-Fayha 0 shots, Al-Nassr 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.09 xG3.32 xGAl-Fayha 0.09 xG, Al-Nassr 3.32 xG
  • Possession34%66%Al-Fayha 34%, Al-Nassr 66%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAl-Fayha 3 corners, Al-Nassr 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsAl-Fayha 13 fouls, Al-Nassr 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardAl-Fayha 4 cards, Al-Nassr 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlfa Semedo · Al-Fayha · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Bamasud · Al-Fayha · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJason · Al-Fayha · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · Al-Nassr · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcelo Brozović · Al-Nassr · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassine Benzia · Al-Fayha · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdulelah Al-Amri · Al-Nassr · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcelo Brozović · Al-Nassr · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAbdulelah Al-Amri · Al-Fayha · 45′ · 0.17 xG · goalAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 74′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOrlando Mosquera · Al-Nassr · 80′ · 0.27 xG · goalAbdullah Al-Hamdan · Al-Nassr · 85′ · 0.72 xG · goalCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 12′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 72′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Fayha: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.25 xG. Al-Nassr: 20 shots, 8 on target, 3.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Abdulelah Al-Amri · Al-Fayha · 45′Sadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 72′Orlando Mosquera · Al-Nassr · 80′Abdullah Al-Hamdan · Al-Nassr · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Fayha 0.25 xG · Al-Nassr 3.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Fayha
0Draws
5Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Nassr — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League3–0
Al-Fayha — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League1–4
Al-Nassr — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Fayha — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fayha favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Nassr in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fayha24 matchesAl-Nassr24 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 2.25 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 18.4 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 6.92 shots/match
44.9%Possession24/24● 59.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners24/24● 7.08 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards24/241.96 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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