Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al Najma 0–5 Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League

0–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 0–5.

Shots
316
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.242.81
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Al Najma 5–0. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – Al-Nassr): shots 3–16, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.24–2.81, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Nassr show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Al-Nassr's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.17 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Najma · Al-Nassr18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl-NassrBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match18.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match6.87 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al Najma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Najma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Nassr.

6 days ▲Rest daysAl Najma · Al-Nassr4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl NajmaAl-NassrBaseline
Rest days6 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots16 shotsAl Najma 3 shots, Al-Nassr 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsAl Najma 0 shots, Al-Nassr 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG2.81 xGAl Najma 0.24 xG, Al-Nassr 2.81 xG
  • Possession42%58%Al Najma 42%, Al-Nassr 58%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersAl Najma 2 corners, Al-Nassr 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsAl Najma 8 fouls, Al-Nassr 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAl Najma 2 cards, Al-Nassr 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Al-Khaibari · Al-Nassr · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Al-Hassan · Al-Nassr · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 42′ · 0.04 xG · goalAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdulaziz Al Harabi · Al Najma · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuga · Al Najma · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdulrahman Ghareeb · Al-Nassr · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 80′ · 0.08 xG · goalMohamed Simakan · Al-Nassr · 79′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMohammed Al Fatil · Al Najma · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 52′ · 0.13 xG · goalAbdullah Al-Hamdan · Al-Nassr · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · Al-Nassr · 18′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 48′ · 0.31 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 31′ · 0.68 xG · goalCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 7′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Najma: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.24 xG. Al-Nassr: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Cristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 7′Kingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 31′Iñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 42′Sadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 52′Iñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Najma 0.24 xG · Al-Nassr 2.80 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Nassr in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma23 matchesAl-Nassr23 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.7 goals/match
2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.78 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals21/23▲ 2.21 xG/match
9.17 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 18.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 6.91 shots/match
46.6%Possession23/23● 59.4%
3.74 corners/matchCorners23/23● 7.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards23/232 cards/match
9.43 fouls/matchFouls23/2312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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