Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al Najma 2–4 Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Hilal won 2–4.

Shots
518
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.322.24
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Najma 4–2. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – Al-Hilal Saudi FC): shots 5–18, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.32–2.24, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Najma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Najma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.63 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Najma · Al-Hilal Saudi FC16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl-Hilal Saudi FCBaseline
Shots8.63 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.25 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Hilal Saudi FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionAl Najma · Al-Hilal Saudi FC● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl-Hilal Saudi FCBaseline
Possession47.8%59.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsAl Najma 5 shots, Al-Hilal 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsAl Najma 3 shots, Al-Hilal 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG2.24 xGAl Najma 0.32 xG, Al-Hilal 2.24 xG
  • Possession28%72%Al Najma 28%, Al-Hilal 72%
  • Corners1 corner10 cornersAl Najma 1 corner, Al-Hilal 10 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsAl Najma 7 fouls, Al-Hilal 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAl Najma 1 card, Al-Hilal 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMalcom · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 46′ · 0.00 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMalcom · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Al Najma · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 43′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJawad El Yamiq · Al Najma · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kanno · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAli Jasim · Al Najma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJawad El Yamiq · Al Najma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNasser Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Al Najma · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 10′ · 0.10 xG · goalTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRúben Neves · Al Najma · 60′ · 0.10 xG · goalTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 71′ · 0.10 xG · goalRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 78′ · 0.10 xG · goalSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Najma: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.25 xG. Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 18 shots, 9 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lázaro · Al Najma · 3′Rúben Neves · Al Najma · 60′Salem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 10′Theo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 71′Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 78′Salem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Najma 0.25 xG · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0.72 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma8 matchesAl-Hilal8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.75 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.6 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.57 xG/match
8.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 16.3 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7.38 shots/match
47.8%Possession8/8● 59.3%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.25 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards8/81.63 cards/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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