Saudi Pro League · 2025Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal 1–0 Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Hilal won 1–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.810.98
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Shabab 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Hilal Saudi FC – Al Shabab): shots 9–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.81–0.98, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Shabab have a visible away split

weak

Al Shabab's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al Shabab's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsAl-Hilal 9 shots, Al-Shabab 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAl-Hilal 2 shots, Al-Shabab 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.98 xGAl-Hilal 0.81 xG, Al-Shabab 0.98 xG
  • Possession73%27%Al-Hilal 73%, Al-Shabab 27%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersAl-Hilal 1 corner, Al-Shabab 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsAl-Hilal 7 fouls, Al-Shabab 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsAl-Hilal 2 cards, Al-Shabab 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 19′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Matuq · Al Shabab · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 30′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMoteb Al-Harbi · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 52′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdulaziz Al-Othman · Al Shabab · 54′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 67′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedWesley Hoedt · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetUnai Hernández · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWesley Hoedt · Al Shabab · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Al Shabab · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Junior · Al Shabab · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG. Al Shabab: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Marcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0.15 xG · Al Shabab 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Hilal
1Draws
1Al-Shabab
Al-Hilal — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League1–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League3–4
Al-Hilal — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Shabab — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Hilal favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Hilal7 matchesAl-Shabab7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
2.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/61.31 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots7/713 shots/match
7.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.14 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession7/749.9%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners7/75.29 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/71.57 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 18:50 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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