PitchMath
Premier League · 2025RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–0 Orenburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
52
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv beat FC Orenburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv – FC Orenburg): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–2, possession 50%–50%, corners 5–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv · FC Orenburg10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotivFC OrenburgBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 14 shots, Orenburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 5 shots, Orenburg 2 shots
  • Possession50%50%Lokomotiv Moscow 50%, Orenburg 50%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 5 corners, Orenburg 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls, Orenburg 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLokomotiv Moscow 1 card, Orenburg 2 cards
  • Passes337 passes332 passesLokomotiv Moscow 337 passes, Orenburg 332 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%73%Lokomotiv Moscow 74%, Orenburg 73%
  • Shots inside box11 shots4 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 11 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockLokomotiv Moscow 3 blocks, Orenburg 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesLokomotiv Moscow 2 saves, Orenburg 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideLokomotiv Moscow 4 offsides, Orenburg 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
1Orenburg
Lokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–4
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League0–2
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow15 matchesOrenburg15 matches
2.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots15/1510.9 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.73 shots/match
48.7%Possession15/15● 49.7%
3.93 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.93 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards15/152.47 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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