PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Luzhniki Stadium

Orenburg 2–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg and Akhmat Grozny drew 2–2.

Shots
209
Shots on target
84
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Orenburg and Akhmat drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Orenburg – Akhmat): shots 20–9, shots on target 8–4, possession 64%–36%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsOrenburg 20 shots, Akhmat Grozny 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsOrenburg 8 shots, Akhmat Grozny 4 shots
  • Possession64%36%Orenburg 64%, Akhmat Grozny 36%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersOrenburg 3 corners, Akhmat Grozny 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsOrenburg 7 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsOrenburg 3 cards, Akhmat Grozny 0 cards
  • Passes486 passes267 passesOrenburg 486 passes, Akhmat Grozny 267 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%80%Orenburg 90%, Akhmat Grozny 80%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsOrenburg 10 shots, Akhmat Grozny 6 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksOrenburg 4 blocks, Akhmat Grozny 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesOrenburg 2 saves, Akhmat Grozny 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesOrenburg 2 offsides, Akhmat Grozny 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orenburg
2Draws
2Akhmat Grozny
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Russian Cup2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League0–0
Orenburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–1
Akhmat Grozny — Orenburg · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 3 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg6 matchesAkhmat Grozny6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/613.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession6/645.3%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners6/63.17 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/62.67 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headOrenburg — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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