PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostec Arena

Baltika Kaliningrad 3–2 Orenburg · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 3–2.

Shots
109
Shots on target
57
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika beat FC Orenburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (Baltika – FC Orenburg): shots 10–9, shots on target 5–7, possession 39%–61%, corners 2–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Orenburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBaltika · FC Orenburg8.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaFC OrenburgBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match8.33 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

21 fouls/matchFoulsBaltika · FC Orenburg17.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaFC OrenburgBaseline
Fouls21 fouls/match17.3 fouls/match14.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 10 shots, Orenburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 5 shots, Orenburg 7 shots
  • Possession39%61%Baltika Kaliningrad 39%, Orenburg 61%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersBaltika Kaliningrad 2 corners, Orenburg 2 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls8 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 23 fouls, Orenburg 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards4 cardsBaltika Kaliningrad 5 cards, Orenburg 4 cards
  • Passes210 passes339 passesBaltika Kaliningrad 210 passes, Orenburg 339 passes
  • Pass accuracy62%73%Baltika Kaliningrad 62%, Orenburg 73%
  • Shots inside box6 shots4 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 6 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block0 blocksBaltika Kaliningrad 1 block, Orenburg 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesBaltika Kaliningrad 4 saves, Orenburg 2 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideBaltika Kaliningrad 4 offsides, Orenburg 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Baltika Kaliningrad
0Draws
1Orenburg
Orenburg — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League1–0
Baltika Kaliningrad — Orenburg · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad3 matchesOrenburg3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.33 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
47%Possession3/3● 48.3%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.33 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
21 fouls/matchFouls3/317.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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