PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sovcombank Arena

Nizhny Novgorod 1–2 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–2.

Shots
1818
Shots on target
53
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Nizhny Novgorod 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nizhny Novgorod – CSKA Moscow): shots 18–18, shots on target 5–3, possession 37%–63%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.41 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNizhny Novgorod · CSKA Moscow14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

CSKA Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.2%PossessionNizhny Novgorod · CSKA Moscow● 56.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodCSKA MoscowBaseline
Possession43.2%56.8%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots18 shotsNizhny Novgorod 18 shots, CSKA Moscow 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsNizhny Novgorod 5 shots, CSKA Moscow 3 shots
  • Possession37%63%Nizhny Novgorod 37%, CSKA Moscow 63%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersNizhny Novgorod 5 corners, CSKA Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls5 foulsNizhny Novgorod 17 fouls, CSKA Moscow 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards0 cardsNizhny Novgorod 5 cards, CSKA Moscow 0 cards
  • Passes315 passes540 passesNizhny Novgorod 315 passes, CSKA Moscow 540 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%86%Nizhny Novgorod 73%, CSKA Moscow 86%
  • Shots inside box12 shots11 shotsNizhny Novgorod 12 shots, CSKA Moscow 11 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks4 blocksNizhny Novgorod 9 blocks, CSKA Moscow 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesNizhny Novgorod 1 save, CSKA Moscow 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides3 offsidesNizhny Novgorod 4 offsides, CSKA Moscow 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
5CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–0
CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–0
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–3
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–6
CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod29 matchesCSKA Moscow29 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
11.2 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.38 shots/match
43.2%Possession29/29● 56.8%
4.41 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.41 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards22/212.05 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 16:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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