PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Ozon Arena

FK Krasnodar 2–2 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar and Baltika Kaliningrad drew 2–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
54
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Krasnodar and Baltika drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Krasnodar – Baltika): shots 16–14, shots on target 5–4, possession 65%–35%, corners 3–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Krasnodar have a visible home split

moderate

FC Krasnodar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match15.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Krasnodar · Baltika12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC KrasnodarBaltikaBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.52 shots/match11 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsFK Krasnodar 16 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFK Krasnodar 5 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 4 shots
  • Possession65%35%FK Krasnodar 65%, Baltika Kaliningrad 35%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersFK Krasnodar 3 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls22 foulsFK Krasnodar 11 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsFK Krasnodar 3 cards, Baltika Kaliningrad 5 cards
  • Passes418 passes230 passesFK Krasnodar 418 passes, Baltika Kaliningrad 230 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%59%FK Krasnodar 76%, Baltika Kaliningrad 59%
  • Shots inside box12 shots6 shotsFK Krasnodar 12 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 6 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksFK Krasnodar 4 blocks, Baltika Kaliningrad 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesFK Krasnodar 2 saves, Baltika Kaliningrad 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideFK Krasnodar 1 offside, Baltika Kaliningrad 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FK Krasnodar
2Draws
0Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
FK Krasnodar — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League3–2
Baltika Kaliningrad — FK Krasnodar · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar25 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad25 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.44 goals/match
0.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.6 goals/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.5 shots/match
4.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.2 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession25/2546%
5.28 corners/match ●Corners25/253.36 corners/match
2.45 cards/matchCards22/213.24 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2519.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Baltika Kaliningrad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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