PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostec Arena

Baltika Kaliningrad 2–2 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad and Nizhny Novgorod drew 2–2.

Shots
137
Shots on target
44
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika and Nizhny Novgorod drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Baltika – Nizhny Novgorod): shots 13–7, shots on target 4–4, possession 58%–42%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

19 fouls/matchFoulsBaltika · Nizhny Novgorod16.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBaltikaNizhny NovgorodBaseline
Fouls19 fouls/match16.5 fouls/match14.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 13 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 4 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 4 shots
  • Possession58%42%Baltika Kaliningrad 58%, Nizhny Novgorod 42%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBaltika Kaliningrad 4 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 12 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBaltika Kaliningrad 1 card, Nizhny Novgorod 2 cards
  • Passes322 passes230 passesBaltika Kaliningrad 322 passes, Nizhny Novgorod 230 passes
  • Pass accuracy65%55%Baltika Kaliningrad 65%, Nizhny Novgorod 55%
  • Shots inside box5 shots1 shotBaltika Kaliningrad 5 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockBaltika Kaliningrad 2 blocks, Nizhny Novgorod 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesBaltika Kaliningrad 2 saves, Nizhny Novgorod 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesBaltika Kaliningrad 2 offsides, Nizhny Novgorod 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Baltika Kaliningrad
2Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–0
Baltika Kaliningrad — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad24 matchesNizhny Novgorod24 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.83 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.63 goals/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.5 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target24/244.13 shots/match
46.5% ●Possession24/2443.8%
3.42 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.54 corners/match
3.24 cards/matchCards21/202.7 cards/match
19 fouls/matchFouls24/2416.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headBaltika Kaliningrad — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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