PitchMath
Premier League · 2025RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow 3–0 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 3–0.

Shots
2513
Shots on target
75
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv beat CSKA Moscow 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv – CSKA Moscow): shots 25–13, shots on target 7–5, possession 44%–56%, corners 3–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv · CSKA Moscow13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotivCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

CSKA Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionLokomotiv · CSKA Moscow● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotivCSKA MoscowBaseline
Possession47%55.3%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots13 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 25 shots, CSKA Moscow 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 7 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Possession44%56%Lokomotiv Moscow 44%, CSKA Moscow 56%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, CSKA Moscow 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 7 fouls, CSKA Moscow 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsLokomotiv Moscow 3 cards, CSKA Moscow 0 cards
  • Passes380 passes491 passesLokomotiv Moscow 380 passes, CSKA Moscow 491 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%85%Lokomotiv Moscow 76%, CSKA Moscow 85%
  • Shots inside box16 shots9 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 16 shots, CSKA Moscow 9 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks3 blocksLokomotiv Moscow 8 blocks, CSKA Moscow 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesLokomotiv Moscow 4 saves, CSKA Moscow 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesLokomotiv Moscow 2 offsides, CSKA Moscow 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
3Draws
1CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Russian Cup0–0
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Russian Cup2–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow12 matchesCSKA Moscow12 matches
2.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots12/1213.7 shots/match
5.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/125.08 shots/match
47%Possession12/12● 55.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.92 corners/match
3.17 cards/matchCards12/122.42 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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