PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Rostec Arena

Baltika Kaliningrad 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 2–0.

Shots
97
Shots on target
43
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0. Recorded in this match (Baltika – Dinamo Makhachkala): shots 9–7, shots on target 4–3, possession 52%–48%, corners 5–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 9 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 4 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 3 shots
  • Possession52%48%Baltika Kaliningrad 52%, Dinamo Makhachkala 48%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersBaltika Kaliningrad 5 corners, Dinamo Makhachkala 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsBaltika Kaliningrad 18 fouls, Dinamo Makhachkala 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBaltika Kaliningrad 2 cards, Dinamo Makhachkala 3 cards
  • Passes343 passes318 passesBaltika Kaliningrad 343 passes, Dinamo Makhachkala 318 passes
  • Pass accuracy65%56%Baltika Kaliningrad 65%, Dinamo Makhachkala 56%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsBaltika Kaliningrad 5 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksBaltika Kaliningrad 2 blocks, Dinamo Makhachkala 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesBaltika Kaliningrad 3 saves, Dinamo Makhachkala 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesBaltika Kaliningrad 3 offsides, Dinamo Makhachkala 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Baltika Kaliningrad favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Baltika Kaliningrad11 matchesDinamo Makhachkala11 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.45 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots11/1110.6 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113 shots/match
44.9%Possession11/11● 47.4%
3.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 3.64 corners/match
3.18 cards/matchCards11/112.36 cards/match
20.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBaltika KaliningradDinamo Makhachkala
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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