PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Akhmat-Arena

Nizhny Novgorod 2–3 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 2–3.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
106
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv beat Nizhny Novgorod 3–2. Recorded in this match (Nizhny Novgorod – Lokomotiv): shots 13–14, shots on target 10–6, possession 56%–44%, corners 4–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lokomotiv's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNizhny Novgorod · Lokomotiv13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodLokomotivBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match12 shots/match10.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nizhny Novgorod have recorded the higher season possession share.

49% ●PossessionNizhny Novgorod · Lokomotiv40.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodLokomotivBaseline
Possession49%40.7%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsNizhny Novgorod 13 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots6 shotsNizhny Novgorod 10 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 6 shots
  • Possession56%44%Nizhny Novgorod 56%, Lokomotiv Moscow 44%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersNizhny Novgorod 4 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsNizhny Novgorod 16 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards4 cardsNizhny Novgorod 5 cards, Lokomotiv Moscow 4 cards
  • Passes413 passes333 passesNizhny Novgorod 413 passes, Lokomotiv Moscow 333 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%80%Nizhny Novgorod 83%, Lokomotiv Moscow 80%
  • Shots inside box8 shots9 shotsNizhny Novgorod 8 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksNizhny Novgorod 2 blocks, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves9 savesNizhny Novgorod 3 saves, Lokomotiv Moscow 9 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesNizhny Novgorod 1 offside, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
5Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–3
Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–3
Lokomotiv Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod3 matchesLokomotiv Moscow3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
49% ●Possession3/340.7%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
18 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Aug 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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