Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

Rio Ave

DDLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Casa Pia and Rio Ave drew 1–1.

Shots
206
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.340.61
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Casa Pia and Rio Ave drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – Rio Ave): shots 20–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.34–0.61, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave have a visible away split

moderate

Rio Ave's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.94 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.94 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsCasa Pia 20 shots, Rio Ave 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCasa Pia 5 shots, Rio Ave 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.34 xG0.61 xGCasa Pia 2.34 xG, Rio Ave 0.61 xG
  • Possession41%59%Casa Pia 41%, Rio Ave 59%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersCasa Pia 9 corners, Rio Ave 0 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsCasa Pia 17 fouls, Rio Ave 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsCasa Pia 1 card, Rio Ave 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Ofori · Casa Pia · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid Sousa · Casa Pia · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastián Pérez · Casa Pia · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Marques · Casa Pia · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Rosas · Casa Pia · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Brito · Casa Pia · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafael Brito · Casa Pia · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Sousa · Casa Pia · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDomingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira · Casa Pia · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Marques · Casa Pia · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 38′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Ofori · Casa Pia · 71′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPedro Rosas · Casa Pia · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 52′ · 0.20 xG · goalJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 40′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedOluwakorede Osundina · Casa Pia · 90′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 35′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Casa Pia: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG. Rio Ave: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 35′Jalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Casa Pia 2.26 xG · Rio Ave 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Casa Pia
2Draws
2Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga3–1
Casa Pia — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–1
Rio Ave — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–2
Rio Ave — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–0
Casa Pia — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia36 matchesRio Ave36 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.67 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals34/35▲ 1.07 xG/match
8.86 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 10.9 shots/match
2.97 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.08 shots/match
41.4%Possession36/36● 48%
3.92 corners/matchCorners36/36● 4.44 corners/match
3.38 cards/matchCards26/252.92 cards/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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