PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

WDDLD
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 1–4.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.71.58
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Rio Ave 4–1. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Sporting CP): shots 12–16, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.7–1.58, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rio Ave's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rio Ave's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · Sporting CP17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveSporting CPBaseline
Shots11 shots/match17.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match8.74 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rio Ave have a visible home split

moderate

Rio Ave's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsRio Ave 12 shots, Sporting 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsRio Ave 3 shots, Sporting 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.58 xGRio Ave 0.7 xG, Sporting 1.58 xG
  • Possession36%64%Rio Ave 36%, Sporting 64%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRio Ave 5 corners, Sporting 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsRio Ave 9 fouls, Sporting 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsRio Ave 5 cards, Sporting 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dario Špikić · Rio Ave · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Tomé · Rio Ave · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Guilherme · Sporting CP · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuís Guilherme · Sporting CP · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 66′ · 0.03 xG · goalGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJalen Blesa · Rio Ave · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 12′ · 0.06 xG · goalTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Mancha · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.10 xG · goalPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTamblé Monteiro · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG. Sporting CP: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Diogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 12′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′Gustavo Mancha · Sporting CP · 42′Francisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 66′Geovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 0.68 xG · Sporting CP 1.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rio Ave
1Draws
4Sporting
Sporting — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga4–0
Rio Ave — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3–1
Rio Ave — Sporting · Primeira Liga3–3
Sporting — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave35 matchesSporting35 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 2.66 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 2.19 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 17.9 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 7.09 shots/match
47.7%Possession35/35● 62.4%
4.57 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6.97 corners/match
2.92 cards/matchCards25/262.42 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRio Ave — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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