Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 1–1 Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga and Estoril Praia drew 1–1.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.410.89
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga and Estoril drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – Estoril): shots 10–10, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.41–0.89, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estoril show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estoril's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Braga · Estoril11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaEstorilBaseline
Shots12 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.18 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SC Braga.

7 days ▲Rest daysSC Braga · Estoril7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSC BragaEstorilBaseline
Rest days7 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsSporting Braga 10 shots, Estoril Praia 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSporting Braga 3 shots, Estoril Praia 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.41 xG0.89 xGSporting Braga 0.41 xG, Estoril Praia 0.89 xG
  • Possession50%50%Sporting Braga 50%, Estoril Praia 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersSporting Braga 5 corners, Estoril Praia 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsSporting Braga 15 fouls, Estoril Praia 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsSporting Braga 3 cards, Estoril Praia 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 6′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGabriel Moscardo · SC Braga · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Moscardo · SC Braga · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · SC Braga · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Moscardo · SC Braga · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPau Víctor · SC Braga · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Navarro · SC Braga · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Lacximicant · Estoril · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Marqués · Estoril · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPeixinho · Estoril · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXeka · Estoril · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 68′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGonçalo Costa · Estoril · 76′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 23′ · 0.13 xG · goalYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 79′ · 0.17 xG · goalRicard Sánchez · Estoril · 19′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.40 xG. Estoril: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 23′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 0.40 xG · Estoril 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sporting Braga
1Draws
1Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–0
Estoril Praia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–2
Sporting Braga — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–2
Estoril Praia — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting Braga — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga34 matchesEstoril Praia34 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.62 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.68 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.23 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots34/3411.6 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344 shots/match
63.5% ●Possession34/3453.2%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners34/344.5 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards26/252.6 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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