PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 1–0.

Shots
78
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.30.79
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat GIL Vicente 1–0. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – GIL Vicente): shots 7–8, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.3–0.79, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Clara.

6.1 days ▲Rest daysSanta Clara · GIL Vicente7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSanta ClaraGIL VicenteBaseline
Rest days6.1 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.76 corners/matchCornersSanta Clara · GIL Vicente● 5.61 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraGIL VicenteBaseline
Corners4.76 corners/match5.61 corners/match4.26 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsSanta Clara 7 shots, Gil Vicente 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsSanta Clara 2 shots, Gil Vicente 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG0.79 xGSanta Clara 0.3 xG, Gil Vicente 0.79 xG
  • Possession54%46%Santa Clara 54%, Gil Vicente 46%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersSanta Clara 6 corners, Gil Vicente 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsSanta Clara 15 fouls, Gil Vicente 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSanta Clara 1 card, Gil Vicente 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brenner · Santa Clara · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Fernando · Santa Clara · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTidjany Touré · GIL Vicente · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Klismahn · Santa Clara · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Espigares · GIL Vicente · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Eduardo · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 3′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarvin Elimbi Gilbert · GIL Vicente · 24′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG. GIL Vicente: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Vinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 0.29 xG · GIL Vicente 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Santa Clara
0Draws
2Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–0
Gil Vicente — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–1
Santa Clara — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga2–1
Santa Clara — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga3–2
Gil Vicente — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santa Clara favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Gil Vicente in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santa Clara29 matchesGil Vicente28 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed29/281.04 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.35 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots29/28▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲ 4.61 shots/match
49.6%Possession29/28● 49.9%
4.76 corners/matchCorners29/28● 5.61 corners/match
3.23 cards/matchCards26/252.56 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSanta ClaraGil Vicente
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSanta Clara — Gil Vicente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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