PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 0–1 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 0–1.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.280.98
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat AVS - Futebol SAD 1–0. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Santa Clara): shots 10–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.28–0.98, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAVS - Futebol SAD · Santa Clara12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match9.46 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Santa Clara have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Santa Clara● 49.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADSanta ClaraBaseline
Possession40.6%49.4%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 10 shots, Santa Clara 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 2 shots, Santa Clara 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG0.98 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.28 xG, Santa Clara 0.98 xG
  • Possession45%55%AVS - Futebol SAD 45%, Santa Clara 55%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 4 corners, Santa Clara 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 16 fouls, Santa Clara 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGustavo Klismahn · Santa Clara · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Neiva · AVS - Futebol SAD · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKiki · AVS - Futebol SAD · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMateus Pivô · AVS - Futebol SAD · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoni · AVS - Futebol SAD · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateus Pivô · AVS - Futebol SAD · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAderllan Santos · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 31′ · 0.21 xG · on targetGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 68′ · 0.21 xG · goalGuilherme Romão · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG. Santa Clara: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.29 xG · Santa Clara 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AVS - Futebol SAD
0Draws
3Santa Clara
Santa Clara — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0
AVS - Futebol SAD — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–2
Santa Clara — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD26 matchesSanta Clara28 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored26/28▲ 0.93 goals/match
2.23 goals/matchGoals allowed26/28▲ 1.11 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲ 1.09 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots26/28▲ 12.5 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target26/28▲ 3.43 shots/match
40.6%Possession26/28● 49.4%
3.54 corners/matchCorners26/28● 4.71 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls26/2814.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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