Primeira Liga · 2025Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

LWLDD

0–1Full-time recap

Santa Clara

LLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Santa Clara
Shots	10 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.28 xG/match	0.98 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%●
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG. Santa Clara: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.29 xG · Santa Clara 0.99 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	0.93 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsAVS - Futebol SAD · Santa Clara12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Santa Clara	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	14.7 shots/match	9.46 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Santa Clara have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Santa Clara●49.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Santa Clara	Baseline
Possession	40.6%	49.4%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0AVS - Futebol SAD

0Draws

3Santa Clara

25 Oct 2025Santa Clara — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–0

8 Feb 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–2

31 Aug 2024Santa Clara — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 11 · 2 too close

0.69 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/28▲0.93 goals/match

2.23 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/28▲1.11 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/27▲1.09 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/27▲1.04 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/28▲12.5 shots/match

14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/28▲9.46 shots/match

2.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/28▲3.43 shots/match

5.27 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/28▲3.46 shots/match

40.6%Possessionseason · 26/28●49.4%

3.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/28●4.71 corners/match

5.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/28▲4.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/263.23 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2814.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/28▲32%

42%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/28▲64%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

Santa Clara44.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AVS - Futebol SAD16.7

Santa Clara35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AVS - Futebol SAD7

Santa Clara74.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AVS - Futebol SAD71.1

Santa Clara55.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD47.4

Santa Clara89.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD15.8

Santa Clara65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AVS - Futebol SAD27

Santa Clara59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD26 matchesSanta Clara28 matches

0.69 goals/matchGoals scored26/28▲0.93 goals/match

2.23 goals/matchGoals allowed26/28▲1.11 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲1.09 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots26/28▲12.5 shots/match

2.88 shots/matchShots on target26/28▲3.43 shots/match

40.6%Possession26/28●49.4%

3.54 corners/matchCorners26/28●4.71 corners/match

—Cards0/263.23 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls26/2814.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AVS - Futebol SAD14 matchesSanta Clara14 matches

0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲0.86 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.21 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.06 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots14/14▲12.7 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/143.43 shots/match

41.1%Possession14/14●48.8%

3.64 corners/matchCorners14/14●4.57 corners/match

—Cards0/132.38 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4