Primeira Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tondela

DDWDL

0–0Full-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

WLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tondela	AVS - Futebol SAD
Shots	14 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.64 xG/match	0.8 xG/match▲
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	7 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tondela: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.69 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tondela 0.69 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Tondela

1Draws

0AVS - Futebol SAD

2 Nov 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — Tondela · Primeira Liga2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tondela favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0 · 5 too close

0.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/270.67 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/272.15 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/270.85 xG/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/271.72 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2710.6 shots/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 28/2714.6 shots/match

3.39 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/272.85 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/275.19 shots/match

43.2%●Possessionseason · 28/2740.6%

4.07 corners/match●Cornersseason · 28/273.63 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/275.89 corners/match

2.92 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2714 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2715%

43%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2741%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tondela18.4

AVS - Futebol SAD2.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tondela27.2

AVS - Futebol SAD14.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tondela40.3

AVS - Futebol SAD7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tondela50

AVS - Futebol SAD71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tondela73

AVS - Futebol SAD47.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tondela34.2

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tondela43.4

AVS - Futebol SAD24.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tondela28 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD27 matches

0.75 goals/match▲Goals scored28/270.67 goals/match

1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/272.15 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals27/270.85 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots28/2710.6 shots/match

3.39 shots/match▲Shots on target28/272.85 shots/match

43.2%●Possession28/2740.6%

4.07 corners/match●Corners28/273.63 corners/match

2.92 cards/matchCards24/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2714 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tondela15 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD13 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored15/130.62 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/132.62 goals/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals15/130.84 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1310 shots/match

3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/132.23 shots/match

44.3%●Possession15/1340%

4 corners/match●Corners15/133.62 corners/match

2.83 cards/matchCards12/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1313.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples28 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4