Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 3–0 Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 3–0.

Shots
147
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.260.62
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Estoril 3–0. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – Estoril): shots 14–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.26–0.62, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.88 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · Estoril12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPEstorilBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against7.92 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Estoril.

6.11 days ▲Rest daysSporting CP · Estoril5.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSporting CPEstorilBaseline
Rest days6.11 days5.11 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsSporting 14 shots, Estoril Praia 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsSporting 7 shots, Estoril Praia 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG0.62 xGSporting 2.26 xG, Estoril Praia 0.62 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sporting 53%, Estoril Praia 47%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerSporting 4 corners, Estoril Praia 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsSporting 9 fouls, Estoril Praia 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSporting 2 cards, Estoril Praia 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Souleymane Faye · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Guilherme · Sporting CP · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntef Tsoungui · Estoril · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRafik Guitane · Estoril · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSouleymane Faye · Sporting CP · 74′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMorten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Vagiannidis · Sporting CP · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 13′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPedro Carvalho · Estoril · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 29′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalRicard Sánchez · Estoril · 26′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 75′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 6′ · 0.51 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 16′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.24 xG. Estoril: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 6′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 16′Daniel Bragança · Sporting CP · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 2.24 xG · Estoril 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Sporting
0Draws
0Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga3–1
Estoril Praia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Estoril Praia — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting25 matchesEstoril Praia26 matches
2.72 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/261.88 goals/match
0.48 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/261.77 goals/match
2.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.38 xG/match
18.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2612.3 shots/match
7.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/264.46 shots/match
62% ●Possession25/2652.8%
7.32 corners/match ●Corners25/264.46 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards24/242.63 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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