Primeira Liga · 2025Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gil Vicente won 1–2.

Shots
315
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.122.46
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

GIL Vicente beat Moreirense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – GIL Vicente): shots 3–15, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.12–2.46, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Moreirense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.23 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · GIL Vicente14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseGIL VicenteBaseline
Shots9.23 shots/match14.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots15 shotsMoreirense 3 shots, Gil Vicente 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsMoreirense 1 shot, Gil Vicente 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.12 xG2.46 xGMoreirense 0.12 xG, Gil Vicente 2.46 xG
  • Possession42%58%Moreirense 42%, Gil Vicente 58%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersMoreirense 3 corners, Gil Vicente 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsMoreirense 18 fouls, Gil Vicente 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardMoreirense 3 cards, Gil Vicente 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 67′ · 0.01 xG · goalSanti García · GIL Vicente · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Buatu · GIL Vicente · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLanderson · Moreirense · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTidjany Touré · GIL Vicente · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuís Semedo · Moreirense · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTidjany Touré · GIL Vicente · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Buatu · GIL Vicente · 82′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 57′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSanti García · GIL Vicente · 84′ · 0.25 xG · on targetHéctor Hernández · GIL Vicente · 88′ · 0.51 xG · goalMurilo · GIL Vicente · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Moreirense: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.11 xG. GIL Vicente: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 67′Murilo · GIL Vicente · 43′Héctor Hernández · GIL Vicente · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Moreirense 0.11 xG · GIL Vicente 2.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Moreirense
1Draws
2Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–0
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–1
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga3–2
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–1
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Gil Vicente in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense22 matchesGil Vicente22 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.36 xG/match
9.23 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.68 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession22/2249.8%
3.91 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.73 corners/match
2.86 cards/matchCards21/212.76 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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