PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 3–0 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

3–0Historical match

Rio Ave

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 3–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.740.13
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Rio Ave 3–0. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – Rio Ave): shots 15–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.74–0.13, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.17 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Braga · Rio Ave9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaRio AveBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against8.26 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.1% ●PossessionSC Braga · Rio Ave46.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaRio AveBaseline
Possession65.1%46.5%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsSporting Braga 15 shots, Rio Ave 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsSporting Braga 7 shots, Rio Ave 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.74 xG0.13 xGSporting Braga 2.74 xG, Rio Ave 0.13 xG
  • Possession63%37%Sporting Braga 63%, Rio Ave 37%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerSporting Braga 9 corners, Rio Ave 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsSporting Braga 14 fouls, Rio Ave 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSporting Braga 1 card, Rio Ave 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diogo Bezerra · Rio Ave · 12′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmar Richards · Rio Ave · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Liavas · Rio Ave · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmar Richards · Rio Ave · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVictor Gómez · SC Braga · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonis Papakanellos · Rio Ave · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBright Arrey-Mbi · SC Braga · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonis Papakanellos · Rio Ave · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · SC Braga · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPau Víctor · SC Braga · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 46′ · 0.23 xG · on targetFlorian Grillitsch · SC Braga · 4′ · 0.42 xG · goalRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goalRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 17′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 73′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.67 xG. Rio Ave: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Florian Grillitsch · SC Braga · 4′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 73′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 2.67 xG · Rio Ave 0.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sporting Braga
2Draws
1Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–2
Rio Ave — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1
Sporting Braga — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga4–0
Rio Ave — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–0
Sporting Braga — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga23 matchesRio Ave22 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/221.09 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/221.91 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.92 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/229.5 shots/match
5.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/223.82 shots/match
65.1% ●Possession23/2246.5%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners23/224.09 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards21/212.76 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaRio Ave
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting Braga — Rio Ave
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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