PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 0–4 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 0–4.

Shots
810
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.442
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting Braga beat AVS - Futebol SAD 4–0. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Sporting Braga): shots 8–10, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.44–2, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Braga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.14 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Sporting Braga● 65.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADSporting BragaBaseline
Possession42.1%65.2%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAVS - Futebol SAD · Sporting Braga13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAVS - Futebol SADSporting BragaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match8.32 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 8 shots, Sporting Braga 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 3 shots, Sporting Braga 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG2 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.44 xG, Sporting Braga 2 xG
  • Possession33%67%AVS - Futebol SAD 33%, Sporting Braga 67%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 1 corner, Sporting Braga 4 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls6 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 3 fouls, Sporting Braga 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Moutinho · Sporting Braga · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Braga · 30′ · 0.05 xG · goalRúben Semedo · AVS - Futebol SAD · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · Sporting Braga · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 7′ · 0.14 xG · goalPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 88′ · 0.29 xG · on targetPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 80′ · 0.38 xG · goalPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 83′ · 0.43 xG · goalPau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 88′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.45 xG. Sporting Braga: 10 shots, 8 on target, 2.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ricardo Horta · Sporting Braga · 7′Rodrigo Zalazar · Sporting Braga · 30′Pau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 80′Pau Víctor · Sporting Braga · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.45 xG · Sporting Braga 2.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AVS - Futebol SAD
1Draws
2Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–2
Sporting Braga — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD20 matchesSporting Braga22 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored20/22▲ 2.14 goals/match
2.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/22▲ 0.91 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.95 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots20/22▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target20/22▲ 5.41 shots/match
42.1%Possession20/22● 65.2%
3.45 corners/matchCorners20/22● 5.68 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls20/2210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required