Primeira Liga · 2025Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

DLLLD

0–4Full-time recap

Sporting Braga

LDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Sporting Braga
Shots	8 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.44 xG/match	2 xG/match▲
Possession	33%	67%●
Corners	1 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	3 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.45 xG. Sporting Braga: 10 shots, 8 on target, 2.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.45 xG · Sporting Braga 2.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Braga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sporting Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Braga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.4 goals/match	2.14 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionAVS - Futebol SAD · Sporting Braga●65.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Sporting Braga	Baseline
Possession	42.1%	65.2%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsAVS - Futebol SAD · Sporting Braga13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	AVS - Futebol SAD	Sporting Braga	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	14.4 shots/match	8.32 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0AVS - Futebol SAD

1Draws

2Sporting Braga

24 Aug 2025Sporting Braga — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga2–2

13 Apr 2025Sporting Braga — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–1

1 Dec 2024AVS - Futebol SAD — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 11 · 2 too close

0.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/22▲2.14 goals/match

2.55 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/22▲0.91 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲1.95 xG/match

1.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.04 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/22▲13.3 shots/match

14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/22▲8.32 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/22▲5.41 shots/match

5.45 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/22▲3.05 shots/match

42.1%Possessionseason · 20/22●65.2%

3.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/22●5.68 corners/match

5.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/22▲2.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/202.15 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2210.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/22▲41%

45%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/22▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

Sporting Braga97.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AVS - Futebol SAD21

Sporting Braga81.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

Sporting Braga81.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AVS - Futebol SAD68.4

Sporting Braga13.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD52.6

Sporting Braga4.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

Sporting Braga81.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AVS - Futebol SAD28.9

Sporting Braga60.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD20 matchesSporting Braga22 matches

0.7 goals/matchGoals scored20/22▲2.14 goals/match

2.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/22▲0.91 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲1.95 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots20/22▲13.3 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target20/22▲5.41 shots/match

42.1%Possession20/22●65.2%

3.45 corners/matchCorners20/22●5.68 corners/match

—Cards0/202.15 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls20/2210.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AVS - Futebol SAD11 matchesSporting Braga12 matches

0.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/12▲2.17 goals/match

2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲0.92 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.99 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots11/12▲13.5 shots/match

3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲5.92 shots/match

42%Possession11/12●66.1%

2.82 corners/matchCorners11/12●5.42 corners/match

—Cards0/112.36 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1210.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.93 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4