Primeira Liga · 2025Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Famalicão

LLWWL

3–1Full-time recap

AVS - Futebol SAD

LLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Famalicão	AVS - Futebol SAD
Shots	14 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.18 xG/match▲	0.49 xG/match
Possession	66%●	34%
Corners	7 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Famalicão: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.22 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Famalicão 2.22 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Famalicão's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.35 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsFamalicão · AVS - Futebol SAD10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Famalicão	AVS - Futebol SAD	Baseline
Shots	12.6 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Famalicão have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2%●PossessionFamalicão · AVS - Futebol SAD41.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Famalicão	AVS - Futebol SAD	Baseline
Possession	52.2%	41.7%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Famalicão

0Draws

0AVS - Futebol SAD

30 Aug 2025AVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–1

30 Mar 2025Famalicão — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–1

3 Nov 2024AVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Famalicão favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0 · 2 too close

1.35 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/210.71 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/212.57 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 21/210.94 xG/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 21/211.84 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2110.8 shots/match

11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2114.4 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/213.1 shots/match

3.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/215.48 shots/match

52.2%●Possessionseason · 23/2141.7%

5.3 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/213.38 corners/match

4.74 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/215.24 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2114 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

48%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/210%

74%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2148%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Famalicão76.3

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Famalicão64

AVS - Futebol SAD19.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Famalicão67.6

AVS - Futebol SAD12.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Famalicão39.5

AVS - Futebol SAD68.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Famalicão75.1

AVS - Futebol SAD47.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Famalicão71.1

AVS - Futebol SAD10.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Famalicão73.7

AVS - Futebol SAD27.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Famalicão23 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD21 matches

1.35 goals/match▲Goals scored23/210.71 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/212.57 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals21/210.94 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots23/2110.8 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on target23/213.1 shots/match

52.2%●Possession23/2141.7%

5.3 corners/match●Corners23/213.38 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCards21/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2114 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Famalicão12 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD10 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored12/100.8 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/103.1 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals11/100.96 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots12/1010.6 shots/match

5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/102.5 shots/match

53.3%●Possession12/1041.4%

5 corners/match●Corners12/104 corners/match

2.82 cards/matchCards11/0—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1013.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4