PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

Famalicão 3–1 AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 3–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.180.49
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicão beat AVS - Futebol SAD 3–1. Recorded in this match (Famalicão – AVS - Futebol SAD): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.18–0.49, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Famalicão's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AVS - Futebol SAD show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AVS - Futebol SAD's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFamalicão · AVS - Futebol SAD10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFamalicãoAVS - Futebol SADBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Famalicão have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionFamalicão · AVS - Futebol SAD41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFamalicãoAVS - Futebol SADBaseline
Possession52.2%41.7%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsFamalicão 14 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFamalicão 6 shots, AVS - Futebol SAD 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.18 xG0.49 xGFamalicão 2.18 xG, AVS - Futebol SAD 0.49 xG
  • Possession66%34%Famalicão 66%, AVS - Futebol SAD 34%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFamalicão 7 corners, AVS - Futebol SAD 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsFamalicão 9 fouls, AVS - Futebol SAD 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTunde Akinsola · AVS - Futebol SAD · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Famalicão · 63′ · 0.01 xG · goalGustavo García · Famalicão · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicão · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Bondo · Famalicão · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Van De Looi · Famalicão · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGil Dias · Famalicão · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicão · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoni · AVS - Futebol SAD · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicão · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Famalicão · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 61′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicão · 47′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goalGustavo Sá · Famalicão · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJustin De Haas · Famalicão · 54′ · 0.27 xG · goalSorriso · Famalicão · 85′ · 0.58 xG · on targetUmar Abubakar · Famalicão · 67′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Famalicão: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.22 xG. AVS - Futebol SAD: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Justin De Haas · Famalicão · 54′Antoine Joujou · Famalicão · 63′Umar Abubakar · Famalicão · 67′Diego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Famalicão 2.22 xG · AVS - Futebol SAD 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Famalicão
0Draws
0AVS - Futebol SAD
AVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–1
Famalicão — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga4–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — Famalicão · Primeira Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Famalicão favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · AVS - Futebol SAD in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Famalicão23 matchesAVS - Futebol SAD21 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/210.71 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/212.57 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.94 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots23/2110.8 shots/match
4.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/213.1 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession23/2141.7%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners23/213.38 corners/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFamalicãoAVS - Futebol SAD
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFamalicão — AVS - Futebol SAD
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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