PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Arouca

FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Arouca won 3–2.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.721.68
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arouca beat Guimaraes 3–2. Recorded in this match (Arouca – Guimaraes): shots 10–14, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.72–1.68, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arouca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arouca's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsFC Arouca 10 shots, Vitória SC 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsFC Arouca 6 shots, Vitória SC 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG1.68 xGFC Arouca 1.72 xG, Vitória SC 1.68 xG
  • Possession51%49%FC Arouca 51%, Vitória SC 49%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFC Arouca 1 corner, Vitória SC 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls15 foulsFC Arouca 19 fouls, Vitória SC 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsFC Arouca 1 card, Vitória SC 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Mendes · Guimaraes · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeni Mukendi · Guimaraes · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlfonso Trezza · Arouca · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEspen Van Ee · Arouca · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Sousa · Guimaraes · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 69′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Abascal · Guimaraes · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Trezza · Arouca · 50′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 56′ · 0.14 xG · goalNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 25′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 30′ · 0.35 xG · goalAlfonso Trezza · Arouca · 45′ · 0.55 xG · goalHyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 74′ · 0.70 xG · goalNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 26′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arouca: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.71 xG. Guimaraes: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alfonso Trezza · Arouca · 45′Ivan Barbero · Arouca · 56′Hyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 74′Noah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 26′Oumar Camara · Guimaraes · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arouca 1.71 xG · Guimaraes 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Arouca
2Draws
3Vitória SC
Vitória SC — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–1
Vitória SC — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–2
FC Arouca — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
FC Arouca — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–3
Vitória SC — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Arouca favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Arouca23 matchesVitória SC22 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/221.23 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.36 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.18 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots23/22▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target23/22▲ 3.64 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession23/2248.9%
3.83 corners/matchCorners23/22● 4.55 corners/match
3.05 cards/matchCards21/212.62 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2215 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AroucaVitória SC
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Arouca — Vitória SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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