PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia 1–1 Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Casa Pia and Gil Vicente drew 1–1.

Shots
311
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.240.83
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Casa Pia and GIL Vicente drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – GIL Vicente): shots 3–11, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.24–0.83, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

GIL Vicente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

GIL Vicente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · GIL Vicente12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaGIL VicenteBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots11 shotsCasa Pia 3 shots, Gil Vicente 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsCasa Pia 1 shot, Gil Vicente 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG0.83 xGCasa Pia 0.24 xG, Gil Vicente 0.83 xG
  • Possession33%67%Casa Pia 33%, Gil Vicente 67%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersCasa Pia 1 corner, Gil Vicente 8 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls8 foulsCasa Pia 19 fouls, Gil Vicente 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardCasa Pia 3 cards, Gil Vicente 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tidjany Touré · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGhislain Konan · GIL Vicente · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Casa Pia · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTidjany Touré · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKelian Nsona · Casa Pia · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMurilo · GIL Vicente · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGhislain Konan · GIL Vicente · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuís Esteves · GIL Vicente · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoelson Fernandes · GIL Vicente · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Espigares · GIL Vicente · 38′ · 0.06 xG · goalSanti García · GIL Vicente · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKelian Nsona · Casa Pia · 53′ · 0.19 xG · goalMurilo · GIL Vicente · 75′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Varela · GIL Vicente · 46′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Casa Pia: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.24 xG. GIL Vicente: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kelian Nsona · Casa Pia · 53′Antonio Espigares · GIL Vicente · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Casa Pia 0.24 xG · GIL Vicente 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Casa Pia
2Draws
2Gil Vicente
Casa Pia — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–0
Gil Vicente — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–1
Casa Pia — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–0
Gil Vicente — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–0
Gil Vicente — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Gil Vicente in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia15 matchesGil Vicente15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.53 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.23 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.87 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.13 shots/match
45.7%Possession15/15● 49.4%
4 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.4 corners/match
3.36 cards/matchCards14/143.07 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCasa PiaGil Vicente
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCasa Pia — Gil Vicente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required