Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave 0–1 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

LDDWW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 0–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.451.73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat Rio Ave 1–0. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Guimaraes): shots 8–16, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.45–1.73, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rio Ave.

7 days ▲Rest daysRio Ave · Guimaraes4.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRio AveGuimaraesBaseline
Rest days7 days4.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Guimaraes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Guimaraes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · Guimaraes12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveGuimaraesBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsRio Ave 8 shots, Vitória SC 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsRio Ave 2 shots, Vitória SC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.45 xG1.73 xGRio Ave 0.45 xG, Vitória SC 1.73 xG
  • Possession43%57%Rio Ave 43%, Vitória SC 57%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersRio Ave 6 corners, Vitória SC 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsRio Ave 15 fouls, Vitória SC 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsRio Ave 4 cards, Vitória SC 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Noah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarem Zoabi · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Nogueira · Guimaraes · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Aguilera · Rio Ave · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndré Luiz · Rio Ave · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamu · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTamás Nikitscher · Rio Ave · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakub Brabec · Rio Ave · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 35′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBrandon Aguilera · Rio Ave · 54′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 35′ · 0.47 xG · goalOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 42′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.44 xG. Guimaraes: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Oumar Camara · Guimaraes · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 0.44 xG · Guimaraes 1.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rio Ave
1Draws
3Vitória SC
Vitória SC — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga3–0
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–2
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–1
Vitória SC — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0
Rio Ave — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave15 matchesVitória SC15 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.27 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.1 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 12.6 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.6 shots/match
47.2%Possession15/15● 48.9%
4.33 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.93 corners/match
3.36 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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