PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 1–0 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 1–0.

Shots
65
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.910.61
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Santa Clara 1–0. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – Santa Clara): shots 6–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.91–0.61, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santa Clara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Santa Clara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Braga · Santa Clara12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against7.93 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.1% ●PossessionSC Braga · Santa Clara47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaSanta ClaraBaseline
Possession66.1%47.3%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots5 shotsSporting Braga 6 shots, Santa Clara 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSporting Braga 3 shots, Santa Clara 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG0.61 xGSporting Braga 0.91 xG, Santa Clara 0.61 xG
  • Possession68%32%Sporting Braga 68%, Santa Clara 32%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSporting Braga 5 corners, Santa Clara 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsSporting Braga 10 fouls, Santa Clara 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsSporting Braga 1 card, Santa Clara 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Soares · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWendel · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBrenner · Santa Clara · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFran Navarro · SC Braga · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBrenner · Santa Clara · 26′ · 0.44 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 42′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Santa Clara: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 0.89 xG · Santa Clara 0.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sporting Braga
2Draws
0Santa Clara
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–1
Santa Clara — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–2
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga5–3
Santa Clara — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–4
Sporting Braga — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga15 matchesSanta Clara15 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151 goal/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.15 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.8 shots/match
66.1% ●Possession15/1547.3%
6.13 corners/match ●Corners15/154.67 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/143.57 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting Braga — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required