PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela 0–2 FC Porto · Primeira Liga

Tondela

LDDLW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 0–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.431.92
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat Tondela 2–0. Recorded in this match (Tondela – FC Porto): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.43–1.92, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tondela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tondela's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.64 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tondela have a visible home split

moderate

Tondela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Porto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsTondela · FC Porto14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTondelaFC PortoBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match9.85 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsTondela 11 shots, FC Porto 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsTondela 2 shots, FC Porto 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG1.92 xGTondela 0.43 xG, FC Porto 1.92 xG
  • Possession26%74%Tondela 26%, FC Porto 74%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersTondela 2 corners, FC Porto 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsTondela 9 fouls, FC Porto 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardTondela 2 cards, FC Porto 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTiago Manso · Tondela · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Tondela · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Bednarek · FC Porto · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmmanuel Maviram · Tondela · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Rodríguez · Tondela · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Tondela · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kiwior · FC Porto · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHélder Tavares · Tondela · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Maviram · Tondela · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Tondela · 29′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Tondela · 11′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 48′ · 0.54 xG · goalWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 49′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tondela: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG. FC Porto: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 48′William Gomes · FC Porto · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tondela 0.45 xG · FC Porto 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Tondela
0Draws
2FC Porto
FC Porto — Tondela · Primeira Liga4–0
Tondela — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tondela favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Porto in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tondela14 matchesFC Porto13 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲ 0.23 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.76 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 5.77 shots/match
43.3%Possession14/13● 54.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners14/13● 5.38 corners/match
2.85 cards/matchCards13/132.62 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1313.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Dec 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTondelaFC Porto
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headTondela — FC Porto
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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