Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela 0–1 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

Tondela

WLLDD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 0–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.051.27
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat Tondela 1–0. Recorded in this match (Tondela – Guimaraes): shots 15–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.05–1.27, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guimaraes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guimaraes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tondela have a visible home split

moderate

Tondela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tondela.

6.1 days ▲Rest daysTondela · Guimaraes6.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTondelaGuimaraesBaseline
Rest days6.1 days6.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsTondela 15 shots, Vitória SC 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsTondela 4 shots, Vitória SC 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.27 xGTondela 1.05 xG, Vitória SC 1.27 xG
  • Possession50%50%Tondela 50%, Vitória SC 50%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersTondela 4 corners, Vitória SC 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsTondela 14 fouls, Vitória SC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardTondela 3 cards, Vitória SC 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maranhão · Tondela · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Maviram · Tondela · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Tondela · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHugo Félix · Tondela · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBeni Mukendi · Guimaraes · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Maviram · Tondela · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Abascal · Guimaraes · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Guimaraes · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHugo Félix · Tondela · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Manso · Tondela · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Tondela · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Félix · Tondela · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOrest Lebedenko · Guimaraes · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Tondela · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYarlen · Tondela · 72′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMaranhão · Tondela · 13′ · 0.21 xG · on targetOumar Camara · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tondela: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG. Guimaraes: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oumar Camara · Guimaraes · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tondela 1.06 xG · Guimaraes 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Tondela
1Draws
1Vitória SC
Tondela — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–1
Vitória SC — Tondela · Primeira Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tondela favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tondela12 matchesVitória SC11 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.05 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 12.8 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/113.64 shots/match
45.4%Possession12/11● 48.4%
3.67 corners/matchCorners12/11● 4.18 corners/match
3.18 cards/matchCards11/112.36 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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