PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 2–2 Tondela · Primeira Liga

2–2Historical match

Tondela

LDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AVS - Futebol SAD and Tondela drew 2–2.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.961.79
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

AVS - Futebol SAD and Tondela drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Tondela): shots 15–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.96–1.79, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tondela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tondela's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 15 shots, Tondela 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 5 shots, Tondela 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.79 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 0.96 xG, Tondela 1.79 xG
  • Possession55%45%AVS - Futebol SAD 55%, Tondela 45%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 5 corners, Tondela 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls17 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 18 fouls, Tondela 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustavo Assunção · AVS - Futebol SAD · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Assunção · AVS - Futebol SAD · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Assunção · AVS - Futebol SAD · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRémy Vita · Tondela · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Tondela · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRony Lopes · Tondela · 14′ · 0.02 xG · goalTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRony Lopes · Tondela · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro Lima · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiogo Spencer · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidi Bane · AVS - Futebol SAD · 43′ · 0.04 xG · goalÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Cavaleiro · Tondela · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Tondela · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Tondela · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNenê · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRafael Barbosa · AVS - Futebol SAD · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYefrei Rodriguez · Tondela · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 62′ · 0.42 xG · goalBrayan Medina · Tondela · 80′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Tondela · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG. Tondela: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sidi Bane · AVS - Futebol SAD · 43′Óscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 62′Rony Lopes · Tondela · 14′Maranhão · Tondela · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 0.94 xG · Tondela 1.80 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Tondela in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD10 matchesTondela11 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/110.73 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/11▲ 1.91 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.16 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 11.7 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 4 shots/match
44.3%Possession10/11● 45%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/11● 3.64 corners/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADTondela
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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