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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Do Dragão

FC Porto 2–1 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 2–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.960.9
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat SC Braga 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Porto – SC Braga): shots 9–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.96–0.9, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.7 corners/matchCornersFC Porto · SC Braga● 6.09 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoSC BragaBaseline
Corners5.7 corners/match6.09 corners/match4.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.1%PossessionFC Porto · SC Braga● 66.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoSC BragaBaseline
Possession53.1%66.4%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsFC Porto 9 shots, Sporting Braga 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Porto 4 shots, Sporting Braga 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG0.9 xGFC Porto 0.96 xG, Sporting Braga 0.9 xG
  • Possession31%69%FC Porto 31%, Sporting Braga 69%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersFC Porto 2 corners, Sporting Braga 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsFC Porto 15 fouls, Sporting Braga 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFC Porto 3 cards, Sporting Braga 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Costa · FC Porto · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · SC Braga · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Gómez · SC Braga · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlan Varela · FC Porto · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Gómez · SC Braga · 51′ · 0.14 xG · goalDeniz Gül · FC Porto · 76′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 29′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFran Navarro · SC Braga · 71′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 79′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Porto: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. SC Braga: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Rodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 45′Borja Sainz · FC Porto · 79′Victor Gómez · SC Braga · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Porto 0.97 xG · SC Braga 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Porto
1Draws
1Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–0
FC Porto — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1
Sporting Braga — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–1
FC Porto — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–0
Sporting Braga — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Porto favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Porto10 matchesSporting Braga11 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/111.73 goals/match
0.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/111.09 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.63 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots10/1114.1 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target10/115.45 shots/match
53.1%Possession10/11● 66.4%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/11● 6.09 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls10/1110.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 3 Nov 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC PortoSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Porto — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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